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Pound Flip Coincides With Rally, Reading Still Not Extreme

Thursday, 28 February 2008 19:06:32 GMT

Written by John Kicklighter, Currency Analyst

GBP/USD Ratio: -1.09
Signal: Bullish

Currency Last Week Present* % Long % Change in Positions Outstanding Signal
GBP/USD 1.01 -1.09 48% 20.34% Bullish

SSI3_2-28

GBPUSD – Looking back to the near split in pound positioning last week, it seems obvious that speculative sentiment was foreshadowing a significant change in from GBPUSD. Ultimately this flip would coincide with the break of a three-month, falling trend channel and subsequent rally that fell just short of 2.00. The SSI ratio now stands at -1.09 – not yet an extreme to confirm expectations of strong follow through. From the details, we can see that long positions are 9.0% lower than yesterday but 14.1% stronger than last week. Shorts are 2.1% greater than Wednesday and 26.4% greater than a week ago. Open interest is only 3.5% above where it stood yesterday and is 15.5% beyond its monthly average.

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