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Euro Technical Outlook
Thursday, 04 June 2009 14:39:30 GMT  |  Jamie Saettele, Senior Currency Strategist
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Euro / US Dollar
06-03-09-Techs-02

The EURUSD rally from 1.2886 has exceeded the level at which it would be equal to the 1.2454-1.3742 rally (1.4174), which puts 1.4723 at risk from a probabilistic standpoint.  The alternate, in which a larger complex correction will end above 1.4723, does remain valid.  Overbought and divergent daily RSI favors a top before 1.4723.  Coming under 1.3792 would make it highly likely that a top is in place but if sufficient evidence arises that a top is in place prior to that point, then I’ll discuss as much here.  Until then, it is best to wait for clarity.

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