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Short Positioning Holds Despite The 1.50 Breech, Pointing To Further Rallying

Thursday, 28 February 2008 19:03:59 GMT

Written by John Kicklighter, Currency Analyst

EUR/USD Ratio: -1.81
Signal: Bullish

Currency Last Week Present* % Long % Change in Positions Outstanding Signal
EUR/USD -1.79 -1.81 35% 10.10% Bullish

SSI2_2-28

EURUSD – The Speculative Sentiment Index has kept us on the right side of the market for the EURUSD’s momentous break above 1.50 this past week. Despite the pair’s break to record highs and its move beyond the closely watched milestone, however, retail positioning remains net short – pointing to further follow through. The ratio of long to short positions was slightly more extreme at -1.81 than last week’s -1.79. On the other hand, the ratio has pulled back from the -2.29 reading from Tuesday – before the euro forced its break. Taking a look at the details, EURUSD longs are 13.1% higher than yesterday and 19.2% greater than the same time a week ago. Short positions are 5.8% higher than last week and down 0.4% from yesterday. Open interest, in spite of the sharp rally, is only 4.0% stronger than yesterday and 16.5% above its monthly average.

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