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Retail Traders Still Fighting Euro Advance, Upside Still Open

Thursday, 13 March 2008 17:07:08 GMT

Written by John Kicklighter, Currency Analyst

EUR/USD Ratio: -1.63
Signal: Bullish

Currency Last Week Present* % Long % Change in Positions Outstanding Signal
EURUSD -1.68 -1.63 38% 1.87% Bullish

SSI3_3-13

EURUSD – Retail Forex traders continue to fight the EURUSD’s record-breaking rally, suggesting the euro has further to advance. Though the pair recently surged through the next market-worthy milestone at 1.5500, the Speculative Sentiment Index ratio still stands at -1.63 with 62 percent of traders attempting to call a top with short positions. For perspective, today’s ratio is only slightly less extreme than last week’s -1.68 reading. On the other hand, the recent reading stands in more distinct contrast to the -2.20 read before yesterday’s breakout. Looking into the details, it seems that retail traders may be slowly coming to terms with the dollar’s weakness as open interest is only 1.8% greater than last Thursday and 14.6% above the monthly average. What’s more, long positions have jumped 24% since Wednesday’s break and are 14.5% stronger than last week. Shorts are down 8.3% from yesterday and 4.4% from last week.

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