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Euro Forecast Remains Bearish on Extreme Positioning
Thursday, 12 February 2009 13:41:13 GMT  |  David Rodriguez, Quantitative Analyst
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EUR/USD ratio: 1.44
Trading Forecast: Bearish

Euro US Dollar

EURUSD – Sharp declines in the Euro/US Dollar have been met by equally aggressive buying, giving us contrarian signal that the EUR/USD may continue its decline. The ratio of long to short positions in the EURUSD stands at 1.44 as nearly 59% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.30 as 56% of open positions were long. Long positions gained 15.6% overnight, and they are 35.1% stronger since last week. By comparison, short positions are 4.2% higher than yesterday and 10.0% stronger since last week. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more EURUSD losses. Our sentiment-based forex trading signals are accordingly short the Euro/US dollar through current price action. 

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