US Dollar Rally May Continue If Fed’s Bernanke Fails to Inspire Confidence on Tuesday
The US dollar continues to make headway higher, especially against the more volatile British pound and commodity dollars, as flight-to-quality leaves the “safe haven” greenback in demand. Indeed, there was very little in the way of major news, though the 1.46 percent drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the more than 7.5 percent plunge in oil, and the 3 point rise in the CBOE’s VIX volatility index does add to evidence that risk aversion is still playing a role in setting trends for the financial markets.
On Tuesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is scheduled to speak in London at 08:00 ET on the financial crisis and policy response, and this could prove to be one of the biggest market-movers of the week due to its potential impact on investor sentiment. If Chairman Bernanke is bearish on prospects for the financial markets and global economy, his comments could have very negative repercussions for the stock markets, and we could subsequently see flight-to-quality spark demand for Treasuries, the US dollar, and Japanese yen. On the other hand, if he announces a new type of policy action or if he manages to inspire confidence that conditions will not get significantly worse, risky assets could rally.
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