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Euro Fails to Break Above Key Trendline Resistance, Shift in Risk Appetite Suggests Weak Open on Sunday
Friday, 14 November 2008 21:18:43 GMT  |  Terri Belkas, Currency Strategist
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The euro spent most of Friday drifting above 1.2650, but as the currency approached 1.28 versus the greenback at the end of the trading session, a rapid shift in investor sentiment sent EUR/USD plunging more than 100 points between 15:00 ET and 16:00 ET.

The move coincided with a roughly 500 point intraday drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, suggesting risk aversion and demand for “safe havens” remains high. Given the solid correlation we continue to see between EUR/USD and US stock markets, the 5 percent drop in Dow futures at the end of the day doesn’t bode well for the currency pair when forex trade starts up again on Sunday. My view? Risk trends rather than fundamentals will continue to dictate price action, but breakouts may be imminent.

Related Article: Euro Intraday Volatility Impressive; Breakout Next Week?

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