The euro fell to the lowest level since April 2006 against the US dollar on Monday as European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet signaled that the ECB may cut rates on November 6.
During a speech in Spain, the outspoken Trichet said, “I consider it possible that the Governing Council would decrease interest rates once again at its next meeting.” Given this commentary along with indications of cooling inflation pressures and slowing growth, Credit Suisse overnight index swaps are now pricing in 129.2 basis points worth of rate cuts by the ECB over the next 12 months, compared to 117.3 basis points on Friday and 88.9 basis points at the beginning of the month. The potential for lower interest rates presents further downside risks for the euro, especially as Tuesday’s GfK consumer confidence report for Germany is anticipated to fall to yet another record low of 1.5 from 1.8.
Related Article: Euro Economic Outlook Is Bleak, But Currency May Still Gain This Week
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