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COT 12/3

Tuesday, 04 December 2007 05:56:29 GMT

Written by Jamie Saettele, Technical Currency strategist

EUR Signal: Bearish but forming a bottom

12-03-2007cot3

EUR: The % of total commercial positions that are long measured through a 52 week percentile is at 88 and the % of total speculative positions that are long measured through a 52 week percentile is at 37.  The 13 week COT index is at 8 and argues for a EUR low to form in the next week or two. 


US Dollar Signal: Bullish but forming a top


12-03-2007cot2

US Dollar Index: The % of total commercial positions that are long measured through a 52 week percentile is at 16 and the % of total speculative positions that are long measured through a 52 week percentile is at 49.  Speculators are buying dollars right now and hedgers are selling.  The dollar is likely to gain for a week or two more until a short term bullish extreme is registered.  

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