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USDCHF SSI Cooling But Still A Strong Sign For Bulls

Thursday, 08 May 2008 20:21:08 GMT

Written by John Kicklighter, Currency Analyst

USD/CHF Ratio: -1.97
Signal: Bullish

Currency Last Week Present* % Long % Change in Positions Outstanding Signal
USDCHF -2.13 -1.97 34% -0.71% Bullish

SSI6_5-8

USDCHF – The USDCHF’s extreme SSI reading is steadily easing, suggesting the pair’s strong advance may be losing some steam. Nonetheless, speculative retail traders were still putting forth a considerable effort to fight the trend with nearly 66% of the market group holding short positions, pushing the ratio to -1.97. The modest - yet steady - decline in this gauge over the past two weeks aligns itself to underlying price action, which has seen the pair turn to congestive price action after a near 500 point rise through the end of April. Looking to the breakdown, the modest change in the ratio is further reflected through the details. Net positioning fell a meager 0.1% from last Thursday and stands only 2.4% above the monthly average. Open long positions slipped 1.6% from yesterday, though are 6.7% stronger on the week. Shorts saw similar interest, growing 2.6% from Wednesday yet falling 4.1% on the week. As a contrarian indicator, the SSI points to further USDCHF upside.

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