USD/CHF Ratio: -1.07 Signal: Bullish
USDCHF – Much like its yen-based counterpart, USDCHF has worked itself into a tight range which has in turn left retail positioning rather split. Just last week, price action in the underlying pair was consolidating just above support read at 1.0100 with the promise of a burst of volatility threatening to usher in multi-month lows. Despite this danger, speculative positioning had still flipped to its most potent, positive bias in three months. In the end, the dollar would rally after the economic battering and lead the retail crowd to quickly take profit and fight the unfolding advance. Today, the USDCHF SSI is holding very close to parity at -1.07 with 52% of the pool short as spot hovers near the middle of a wide range that has been carved out of 1.0500 and 1.0100. The shift in expected price action has been notable with long positions having edged 0.2% higher from yesterday but dropping a significant 19.2% from last Thursday. Shorts on the other hand slipped 0.7% from Wednesday and 8% week over week. More remarkable was the sharp 26.1% drop in open interest after last week’s surge that left net positioning 8.1% below the monthly average.