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USDCAD Could Top on Bearish Sentiment and Technicals

Tuesday, 02 September 2008 23:50:21 GMT

Written by Jamie Saettele, Senior Currency Strategist and David Rodriguez, Quantitative Analyst

USDCAD Long-Term Technical Forecast

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The USDCAD is another example of a momentum extreme occurring along with the price extreme. Price is testing a resistance line right now and there is potential for a top and reversal (especially since the rally from .9055 is in 3 waves, two of which are separated by a triangle). Former support at 1.0927 should remain intact.

USDCAD Fundamental Outlook/Interest Rate Forecast

USDCAD 09.02.08 14

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Interest rate markets predict that the Bank of Canada will cut interest rates by nearly the same amount that the US Federal Reserve will raise them in the coming year—dealing a double-whammy to the recently downtrodden Canadian dollar. Indeed, rate forecasts show expectations of a 116 basis point improvement in the US dollar’s yield differential against the Canadian dollar, and such forecasts give us a bullish bias on the USDCAD pair.

USDCAD Forex Sentiment Outlook

Forex Futures Data Suggests USDCAD May Top through Short Term Forex Trade

 

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