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Selling Continues for New Zealand, Australian and Canadian Dollars
Thursday, 24 July 2008 22:08:57 GMT
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Previous articles
Previous Articles
Aug 20 -
Canadian Dollar: Retail Sales Fail to Provide Lasting Boost, Will CPI Do The Trick?
Aug 19 -
Commodity Dollars Gain On Oil, Gold - Canadian Dollar Faces Retail Sales
Aug 15 -
Canadian Dollar May Secure Bullish Reversal With Data
Aug 15 -
Canadian Dollar, New Zealand Dollar Surge Despite Drop In Commodities
Aug 14 -
Commodity Dollars Struggles To Hold Onto Latest Gains
Aug 13 -
Commodity Dollars Make a Comeback As Oil, Gold Futures Rally
Aug 12 -
Australian Dollar, New Zealand Dollar Plunge As Demand For Yield Wanes
Aug 11 -
Australian Dollar Hits 6+ Month Low As Gold Plummets More Than $35/oz
Aug 11 -
Canadian Dollar Pummeled By Weak Oil, Labor Market Data
Aug 08 -
Gold, Oil Price Declines Weigh On Commodity Bloc, Loonie Hit By Labor Market Data
Aug 07 -
Commodity Dollars Down As Traders Continue To Sell High-Yielders
Aug 06 -
Canadian Dollar Gets Brief Boost From Ivey PMI, Watch Out For Aussie, NZ Employment Data
Aug 05 -
Commodity Currencies: Aussie Gets Slammed as the Reserve Bank of Australia Turns Dovish
Aug 04 -
Canadian Dollar: Weakest of the Commodity Currencies As Oil Tumbles
Aug 01 -
Comm Dollars Remain Weak As Aussie, NZ Economies Falter
Jul 30 -
Australian and New Zealand Continue to Fall
Jul 29 -
More Bad News Out of Australia and New Zealand
Jul 28 -
Australian, New Zealand Dollar Recover, Canadian Dollar Continues Lower
Jul 25 -
Oil Prices Continue to Fall, Taking the Canadian Dollar Lower
Jul 24 -
Selling Continues for New Zealand, Australian and Canadian Dollars
Written by Kathy Lien, Chief Strategist
The selling pressure continues to intensify for the New Zealand, Australian and Canadian dollars. Of all of the G10 currencies, we are most bearish the New Zealand dollar. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has now become the most aggressively dovish central bank of the G10 after announcing that more rate cuts are to come. The futures curve is now pricing in a 100 percent probability that rates will be reduced at the next monetary policy meeting. The central bank has become serious about recessionary risks and even though their measures will help the New Zealand economy in the long run, in the short term, we expect the New Zealand dollar to hit 70 cents against the greenback and breach 1.30 against the Australian dollar. The Australian and Canadian dollars are also lower even though gold and oil prices have held steady. For Canada, the rise in oil prices has masked underlying weakness in exports which means that if oil prices stay at current levels, we could start seeing serious weakness in Canadian data.
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