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- Friday, 16 October 2009 21:38:07 GMT Australian Dollar Forecast to Rally Further on RBA Rate Hikes
- Tuesday, 13 October 2009 01:21:45 GMT Australian Business Confidence Fell For First in Five Months, Says NAB
- Friday, 09 October 2009 23:10:05 GMT Australian Dollar May Simply Consolidate After RBA-Induced Rally
- Thursday, 08 October 2009 23:33:09 GMT Australian Dollar Sees another Dramatic Stretch to New Highs on Employment
- Thursday, 08 October 2009 00:29:27 GMT Australian Dollar Soars as Economy Unexpectedly Gains 40k Jobs, Unemployment Rate Falls
- Wednesday, 07 October 2009 21:16:33 GMT Australian Dollar Loses Some Steam Ahead of Employment Report
- Tuesday, 06 October 2009 18:44:08 GMT Australian Dollar US Dollar Exchange Rate Forecast
- Tuesday, 06 October 2009 02:59:35 GMT Australian Dollar Surges as RBA Unexpectedly Raises Interest Rates
- Monday, 05 October 2009 19:21:01 GMT Australian Dollar Gaining Steam Ahead of Tuesday's RBA Rate Decision
- Friday, 02 October 2009 23:38:47 GMT Australian Dollar Rally May Finally Be Losing Steam
- Friday, 02 October 2009 01:00:02 GMT Australian Inflation Slowest in Six Years, Says TD Securities
- Saturday, 26 September 2009 02:19:52 GMT Australian Dollar to Track Risk as Markets Digest G20 Outcome
- Friday, 25 September 2009 00:14:51 GMT Australian Dollar Traders More Concerned Over Risk Trends than Confirmations of Financial Stability
- Thursday, 24 September 2009 01:13:22 GMT Australia's New Home Sales Matched Record Gain in August, Says HIA
- Friday, 18 September 2009 23:52:45 GMT Australian Dollar Remains Supported By Interest Rate Expectations
- Thursday, 17 September 2009 23:59:24 GMT Commodity Bloc Data Ticks Higher Yet Aussie, Kiwi and Canadian Dollars Struggle
- Wednesday, 16 September 2009 01:47:20 GMT Australia Won't Raise Interest Rates Until Next Year, Says Westpac
- Friday, 11 September 2009 21:25:03 GMT Australian Dollar Strength May be Tested by Reserve Bank Rhetoric
- Thursday, 10 September 2009 02:13:48 GMT Australian Jobs Report Disappoints, Weighs on RBA Rate Hike Expectations
- Wednesday, 09 September 2009 03:36:11 GMT Australia's Economic Recovery May Flounder on Rising Interest Rates
Australian Dollar/US Dollar Long Term Technical Forecast
The AUDUSD reversed following completion of the ending diagonal in July and the decline has been impressive. Diagonals are usually fully retraced, so the initial bearish target is .7265.
Australian Dollar/US Dollar Fundamental Outlook/Interest Rate Forecast
The highly yield-sensitive Australian Dollar has fallen significantly through recent months of trading, as interest rate traders now forecast noticeably lower Australian interest rates through the year ahead. Current Credit Suisse interest rate quotes show expectations of 153 basis points in RBA cuts, while the US Federal Reserve is predicted to cut by a modest 3 basis points through the same period. Such rate changes would leave the Australian Dollar-US Dollar yield differential 1.50 percentage points lower, and the highly yield-sensitive AUDUSD pair may suffer as a result.
Forex Sentiment and Positioning Outlook for the Australian Dollar/US Dollar
Australian Dollar Futures Show AUDUSD Could Fall Further
Written by Jamie Saettele, Senior Strategist and David Rodríguez, Quantitative Analyst for DailyFX.com
To contact the authors of this report, please e-mail research@dailyfx.com.
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