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Currencies at Sentiment Extremes (COT)

By Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist
21 September 2009 17:15 GMT

Latest CFTC Release Dated September 15, 2009:

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The COT Index is the percentile of the difference between net speculative positioning and net commercial positioning measured over a specific number of weeks (either 52 or 13).  A reading close to 0 suggests that a bottom is forming and a reading close to 100 suggests that a top is forming.  The readings are for the actual currency, not the currency pair.  For example, a reading of 100 on the Canadian Dollar suggests that the Canadian Dollar is close to a top (USDCAD close to a bottom).
   
Readings of 95 and higher as well as 5 and lower are in boldfaced red type to indicate potential market extremes.  For example, an increasing index is bullish until the index is extreme (near 100), at which time the risk of a reversal or pause in the trend increases.    



US Dollar

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Euro

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British Pound

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Australian Dollar

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New Zealand Dollar

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Japanese Yen

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Canadian Dollar

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Swiss Franc

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Jamie Saettele publishes Daily Technicals every weekday morning (930 am EST), COT analysis (Monday), technical analysis of currency crosses on Monday, Wednesday, and Friday (Euro and Yen crosses), and intraday trading strategy as market action dictates.  He is the author of Sentiment in the Forex Market.  Follow his intraday market commentary at DailyFX Forex Stream. 

Contact Jamie at jsaettele@dailyfx.com if you would like to receive his reports via email.

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21 September 2009 17:15 GMT