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Short-Term Technical Outlook: USD/JPY (Update)
Wednesday, 05 November 2008 11:23:38 GMT  |  David Song, Currency Analyst
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After peaking to a high of 110.69 on August 15th, the USDJPY plunged to a low of 90.90 last week, and may offer profitable opportunities for forex traders.

Currency Pair: USD/JPY
Chart: 60 Min Charts
Short-Term Bias: Bearish

Analysis Update

USDJPY2_11-5

Over the last few hours of trading, the USDJPY dipped below 99.00 to fill in the gap from earlier this morning, but snapped back after triggering an oversold RSI signal. Over the remainder of the trading session, I anticipate the downward momentum to drag the pair lower, and expect the dollar-yen to cross below the 120 SMA by the end of the trading session. Over the week, we may see increased selling pressures for the greenback drag back to the downside, and may test the 10/29 low of 96.08. However, the fundamental event risks scheduled for the next 24 hours may call for a change in our outlook.

Analysis

USDJPY1_11-5

After peaking to a high of 110.69 on August 15th, the USDJPY plunged to a low of 90.90 last week, and may offer profitable opportunities for forex traders. Over the last two months, the flight to safety has certainly increased bullish sentiment for the Japanese yen, and the low-yielding currency may continue to benefit from its safe haven status. Meanwhile, at the beginning of this week, increase buying pressures led the USDJPY to reach a high of 100.50, but the lack of momentum dragged the pair lower and should continue to move lower over the week. Over the next few hours of trading, I anticipate the pair to hold its current range, and we may see the dollar-yen work its way below the 120 SMA. Be sure to check out other Technical Reports from DailyFX for additional information on the major currency pairs.

To contact the author of this article, please email: dsong@fxcm.com

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