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Short-Term Forex Technical Outlook: GBP/USD (Update)
Monday, 22 December 2008 11:44:01 GMT  |  David Song, Currency Analyst
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Increased volatility throughout the forex market has held the GBPUSD in a broad range throughout the month, and the technical outlook continues to favor a bearish outlook for the pair over the near-term.

Currency Pair: GBP/USD
Chart: 60 Min Charts
Short-Term Bias: Bearish

Analysis Update

GBPUSD2_12-22

During the overnight session, the GBPUSD plunged 200+ points to reach an intraday low of 1.4686, but bounced back after triggering an oversold RSI signal. Increased selling pressures for the pair continues to favor a bearish outlook over the near-term, and we may see the pound-dollar work its way down towards the 12/4 low of 1.4468 over the next few weeks. Meanwhile, the pair may move higher over the week to fill in the gap from the 120 SMA, but I anticipate the GBPUSD to hold the downward trend as we head into the New Year. However, the fundamental event risks scheduled for the next 24 hours may call for a change in our outlook.

Analysis

GBPUSD1_12-22

Increased volatility throughout the forex market has held the GBPUSD in a broad range throughout the month, and the technical outlook continues to favor a bearish outlook for the pair over the near-term. At the beginning of December, we saw the pair test new lows for the year as the pound-dollar slipped to 1.4468 on 12/4, which clearly indicates that the pair has yet to find a bottom. As the pair continues to test for support, I expect the pair to move lower over the coming weeks however, the increasing gap from the 120 SMA suggests that the pair is likely to move higher over the remainder of the trading session. Be sure to check out other Technical Reports from DailyFX for additional information on the major currency pairs.

To contact the author of this article, please email: dsong@fxcm.com

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