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Thread: EURUSD

  1. #20986
    biggari's Avatar
    biggari is offline Member
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    another day of clear PA - thanks again Root-Minus, your PA training has been invaluable


    upload


    a bit more.......


    image hosting
    Last edited by biggari; 12-16-2012 at 09:47 AM.
    risk:reward 1:3+ and win rate 25%+ = PROFIT
    Keeping It Simple Stupid

  2. #20987
    turmaz is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by FXTA View Post
    Weekly Price structure is definitely favoring the Bulls. upward pressure could continue for a while.

    Weekly Below:
    yes if we get a daily close above 3150 i see 3290xx

    and thank you mentor for posting in here,

    from where do u suspect pull back sir?

    i am currently holding long took some profit at 3145 another pending at 3179, and possible short scalp
    Have a plan and stick to it.

  3. #20988
    danandsueco is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by turmaz View Post
    yes if we get a daily close above 3150 i see 3290xx

    and thank you mentor for posting in here,

    from where do u suspect pull back sir?

    i am currently holding long took some profit at 3145 another pending at 3179, and possible short scalp
    Hey Turmaz.. welcome back. : )

  4. #20989
    Fx(MIA) is offline Member
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    Posts currently out of all trades

    I think I will just incorparate the actual post next time


  5. #20990
    FXTA's Avatar
    FXTA is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by turmaz View Post
    yes if we get a daily close above 3150 i see 3290xx

    and thank you mentor for posting in here,

    from where do u suspect pull back sir?

    i am currently holding long took some profit at 3145 another pending at 3179, and possible short scalp
    Hey turmaz, I will be looking for 1.3120 to get back in long. I should of stayed long from 1.2892 but no biggie, will reload when i get the chance assuming we pull back next week but so far the Euro is showing some strong bullish signs. Not a bad week for me overall but nothing great, 186 pips in the green and 22 pips in the red. Have a good weekend.
    “There are no limitations to the mind except those we acknowledge.”

  6. #20991
    Fx(MIA) is offline Member
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    I hope you guys are ready for what is about to happen

    Watch your trades and don't get whipsawed. I am ready to ride this roller coaster.

  7. #20992
    Fx(MIA) is offline Member
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    i am not to sure about that fx I have a different opinion.

    Quote Originally Posted by FXTA View Post
    Hey turmaz, I will be looking for 1.3120 to get back in long. I should of stayed long from 1.2892 but no biggie, will reload when i get the chance assuming we pull back next week but so far the Euro is showing some strong bullish signs. Not a bad week for me overall but nothing great, 186 pips in the green and 22 pips in the red. Have a good weekend.

  8. #20993
    danwalton is offline Member
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    is this a bullish flag?
    Name:  flag.png
Views: 459
Size:  7.8 KB

  9. #20994
    lukes8 is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fx(MIA) View Post
    i am not to sure about that fx I have a different opinion.
    Hey FX, bring it or PM, interested to hear what you see, GL

  10. #20995
    Fx(MIA) is offline Member
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    My Ew cloud says it is a bearish triangle we are currently in the correction cloud but i think the bulls will challenge the high. will post a screen shot if you like

    Quote Originally Posted by danwalton View Post
    is this a bullish flag?
    Name:  flag.png
Views: 459
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  11. #20996
    Andie is offline Member
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    FXTA,

    I owe you a drink!!

  12. #20997
    danwalton is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fx(MIA) View Post
    My Ew cloud says it is a bearish triangle we are currently in the correction cloud but i think the bulls will challenge the high. will post a screen shot if you like
    yeah that'd be helpful whats ew cloud?

  13. #20998
    Fx(MIA) is offline Member
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    EW Cloud

    here is a screen shot of the the EW could its currently capped and in the correction cloud. the correction cloud is relative thick witch indicates a large correction

    Attachment 170871

    Quote Originally Posted by lukes8 View Post
    Hey FX, bring it or PM, interested to hear what you see, GL

  14. #20999
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    My chart
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  15. #21000
    Skyrant is offline Member
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    Most of the U.S.'s big banks predict Treasury yields will rise in 2013

    The Treasury bond market's 21 primary dealers--a club of big global banks that trade directly with the Federal Reserve and underwrite Treasury debt sales--see a median 10-year yield of 2.25% at the end of 2013, the survey found. Benchmark 10-year notes yielded 1.70% late Friday, from 1.88% at the start of the year.

    The higher yield, which means lower prices, reflects these banks' expectations for the U.S. economy to emerge from year-end budget negotiations largely unscathed and gain momentum. Fiscal negotiations are ongoing in Washington to avert the so-called "fiscal cliff," a mix of spending cuts and tax increases that could send the economy into recession if they take effect next month.

    Only three of the 21 banks expect the 10-year yield to end up lower than its current level in a year's time.

    Dealers point to the Federal Reserve as a persistent source of support for growth and its stimulative monetary policy working its way into the economy next year.

    "You'll see the recovery move along, people believing that Fed policy will work and real growth will pick up," said David Zervos, head of fixed-income strategy at Jefferies, one of the 21 primary dealers. The firm's 3% forecast is on the high end of the group's range. "Betting on 10-year yields staying here is betting on the Fed being impotent."

    Whether a budget agreement to address the country's finances comes before the New Year or later next summer, dealers broadly expect one to ultimately emerge and clear up a lot of uncertainties currently holding back business and consumer spending.

    The housing market will continue to be a bright spot, these banks say, and as growth ramps up, so will inflation expectations. Anticipation of higher consumer prices is negative for bondholders because it erodes the value of their fixed-income paying investments.

    But even if the economy pushes ahead and puts upward pressure on yields, the Fed is also a daunting force on the other side of the market. Steadfast in its commitment to stimulating the economy by buying bonds, the central bank won't likely allow yields to rise significantly, which then would increase borrowing costs. This fact compelled many of the dealers to put a cap on how high yields can go.

    "The Fed will be counterpunching pretty hard even in a rosier [economic] scenario," said John Briggs, U.S. interest-rate strategist at RBS Securities, another one of the primary dealers. The firm targets a 1.85% 10-year yield at the end of 2013.

    For a smaller group, the rally in Treasurys isn't over. Europe's debt crisis remains unresolved, while progress in the U.S. economy remains susceptible to downturns. The past two years have shown a relentless appetite for safe-haven Treasurys defy most dealers' call for higher yields, thanks to jitters about euro-zone tensions and a broader global slowdown.

    The same year-ahead survey conducted at the end of 2010 showed most dealers drawing a hard line at 2% for how low the 10-year yield could drop. In late-2011, the median forecast was for the yield to rise to 2.40% at the end of this year.


    Primary Dealer Survey
    10-Year Treasury Yield 2013-End Forecasts

    HSBC Securities (USA) 1.4%
    Mizuho Securities 1.5%
    Barclays 1.6%
    Credit Suisse Securities (USA) 1.75%
    Daiwa Capital Markets America 1.85%
    RBS Securities 1.85%
    Bank of America Merrill Lynch 2.0%
    BMO Capital Markets 2.0%
    J.P. Morgan Securities 2.0%
    Morgan Stanley 2.24%
    Cantor Fitzgerald 2.25%
    Goldman Sachs 2.25%
    Nomura Securities 2.25%
    SG Americas Securities 2.35%
    BNP Paribas Securities 2.4%
    RBC Capital Markets 2.4%
    UBS Securities 2.4%
    Bank of Nova Scotia 2.5%
    Citigroup Global Markets 2.5%
    Deutsche Bank Securities 2.5%
    Jefferies & Company 3.0%

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