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  1. FX - EURUSD medium term outlook

    by , 12-11-2014 at 08:57 AM
    This article looks at the longer term trend for EURUSD, we look at the technical and the current fundamental theme.

    EURUSD
    The prevailing trend is bearish as long as we trade below 1.2600 which is the last major high. The 20 period moving average is clearly sloping lower and we are now at the Monthly Pivot Point level. We may given the bearish trend be able to reach 1.2250 which is the current yearly low. We may even reach 1.2150 as long as we trade below 1.2600.

    If we breakout above 1.2600 traders will target 1.2700.

    Fundamental backdrop

    The current fundamental theme is that EU inflation is too low and that the current ECB measures are not enough. Lower Brent crude has not been factored ...
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  2. Equity and Commodity market outlook Dec 11 - 2014

    by , 12-11-2014 at 08:09 AM
    Equity markets traded lower in yesterday's session as Oil created a new yearly low. Today equity markets are still bearish and the lower TLTRO uptake as not enough to spark ECB QE expectations. Given that most equity markets are bearish, I don't see no reason to change stance just yet.

    Later today we will get US Retail sales and Jobless initial claims, stronger than expected data might support equity markets. As always I would keep an eye on the short term trend to know when its time to change stance.

    GER30

    Is short term bearish as long as we trade below 9909 and we may trade as low as 9700. A breakout above 9909 should take us to 10000.

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  3. Forex - London Session outlook Dec 10 - 2014

    by , 12-10-2014 at 07:54 AM
    EURUSD
    Price lacks direction this morning and is trapped in a narrow range. A breakout below 1.2360 will most likely mark the resumption of the bearish trend of the daily chart. If this happens we may reach 1.2300 in today's session.

    If we breakout above 1.2400, then traders will aim for yesterday's high.


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    GBPUSD
    Price reached 1.5646 this morning, this is an intraday low and as long as we trade below 1.5725 we may reach 1.5600.

    Given that EURUSD lacks a strong short term trend, the failure rate of this short term outlook is high.

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  4. UK100, GER30, US30, Gold and US Oil - Dec 10 - 2014

    by , 12-10-2014 at 05:31 AM
    GER30
    The DAX is consolidating yesterday's losses and is now trapped between 9789 which is yesterday's low and 9909 which is today's current high. A breakout above 9909 should mark the resumption of the overall bullish trend and we may reach 10 000.

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    XAUUSD - Gold
    After breaking out higher in yesterday's session price has been trading sideways overnight. Price is trapped between 1226 and 1238. A breakout under 1226 may trigger profit taking and price might slip to 1220 and then 1213. Breakout above 1238 should act as bullish breakout and might take price to 1247.


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    Updated 12-10-2014 at 07:25 AM by Alejandro Zambrano

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