Talking Points:
• The US Dollar and US equities are a mere step away from their respective decade/record highs
• Heavy event risk is ahead that includes NFPs, rate decisions, EM GDP readings, China's SDR status
• Short-term, data-derived volatility will draw the focus away from the change in more systemic trends
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The coming week will prove anything but the quiet, steady bid of risk assets we have come to expect through seasonality studies of December. Rather than settling, the market is set to explode with high-profile event risk this coming week. It will be easy to get lost in the short-term volatility that follows event risk like Friday's US NFPs, the ECB's rate decision or the IMF's decision on reserve status for the Chinese Yuan. However, market participants should be careful not to simply chase the action. Beyond the immediate reaction to these events, there are tremendous underlying themes at stake that can redefine broad market trends and general conditions for months forward. In particular, the market's focus on monetary policy could take a turn or perhaps even catalyze the more omnipotent risk appetite theme. We look at this key event risk in context of its direct impact and its bigger picture influence in this weekend Trading Video.
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