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Canadian Dollar Forecast to Strengthen

By David Rodriguez,
02 February 2012 16:41 GMT
ssi_usd-cad_body_Picture_20.png, Canadian Dollar Forecast to Strengthen

USDCAD – Trading crowds have turned strongly net-long the US Dollar against the Canadian Dollar, giving us contrarian signal that the pair could continue trading lower. In fact traders have been steadily net-long since the pair crossed below the C$1.0400 mark, and we see little reason to change our bearish bias.

The ratio of long to short positions in the USDCAD stands at 2.01 as nearly 67% of traders are long. This is down from yesterday when that same ratio was at 2.4 to 1, but in reality we see little reason to call for a substantial turnaround.

The UDSCAD currently trades at the psychologically significant C$1.00 mark. A break lower would cement our overall bearish bias.

How do we interpret the SSI? Watch an FXCM Expo Presentation that explains the SSI.

--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com

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02 February 2012 16:41 GMT