Retail forex trading crowds have bought aggressively into US Dollar (ticker: USDOLLAR) weakness against the Euro and broader counterparts. We’ll take a contrarian view in favor of further USD declines.
View individual currency sections:
USDJPY - Japanese Yen Bounce Clouds Outlook
USDCHF - Swiss Franc Outlook Bullish
The significant shift in trader sentiment has been enough to force our sentiment-based forex trading strategies to sell the US Dollar across the board. Yet this is with the important caveat that retail crowds are often most net-long at the bottom of the market.
We’ll keep a close eye on whether the USDOLLAR is able to trade above psychologically significant resistance at the 10000 mark. If we do indeed see a USD breakout, it might serve as short-term confirmation of an important reversal.
--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com
To receive the Speculative Sentiment Index and other reports from this author via e-mail, sign up for his distribution list via this link.
New to FX markets? Learn more in our video trading guide.
Contact David via
Twitter at http://www.twitter.com/DRodriguezFX
Facebook at http://www.Facebook.com/DRodriguezFX
DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
Learn forex trading with a free practice account and trading charts from FXCM.