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US Dollar Targets 2010 Highs versus Euro as Sentiment Hits Extremes

By , Quantitative Strategist
24 May 2012 14:40 GMT

ssi_table_story_body_Picture_4.png, US Dollar Targets 2010 Highs versus Euro as Sentiment Hits Extremes

Forex trading crowds continue to sell aggressively into US Dollar strength (ticker: USDOLLAR) as it hits fresh multi-year highs, and one-sided sentiment favors continued USD strength versus the Euro, Canadian Dollar, Swiss Franc, and British Pound.

Our forex sentiment-based trading strategies continue buying into US Dollar and Japanese Yen uptrend across the board, and we see little reason to call for any significant short-term reversals. In fact the Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index seems poised to register fresh peaks as long as it remains above resistance-turned-support at previous 2012 peaks near 10,100.

As with any strong currency trend there are always risks of near-term corrections. That said, we see little reason to call for any larger turnarounds as retail FX trading crowd sentiment hits the most extremely bearish US Dollar against the Euro and other currencies since the USD rallied to important peaks in late 2011.

View an FXCM Expo presentation on the Speculative Sentiment Index for better understanding on how we use it in our trading.

ssi_table_story_body_Picture_6.png, US Dollar Targets 2010 Highs versus Euro as Sentiment Hits Extremes

How do we interpret the SSI? Watch an FXCM Expo Presentation that explains the SSI.

--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com

To receive the SSI via e-mail and other reports from author David Rodríguez, e-mail subject line “Distribution List” to drodriguez@dailyfx.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
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24 May 2012 14:40 GMT