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Forex Analysis: British Pound Could Fall Further versus US Dollar

By , Quantitative Strategist
17 January 2013 15:24 GMT
ssi_gbp-usd_body_Picture_6.png, Forex Analysis: British Pound Could Fall Further versus US Dollar

GBPUSD – Retail FX traders have recently gone short the US Dollar (ticker: USDOLLAR) against the British Pound (long GBPUSD), and a contrarian view of crowd sentiment warns that the GBPUSD may continue lower. The FXCM SSI ratio for the British Pound stands at 1.2; there are 1.2 traders long for every short.

Trade Implications – GBPUSD: We will need to see a larger shift towards crowd buying for our sentiment-based trading strategies to take a GBP short. Yet a break below the psychologically significant $1.6000 mark suggests that a move towards multi-month lows of $1.5825 is likely.

--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for

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17 January 2013 15:24 GMT