USD/JPY: Despite the latest bounce, the pair still remains confined to a very strong downtrend and any rallies are seen limited, in favor of a bearish resumption. Look for any additional rallies to stall out ahead of 92.00, with only a break and close back above 92.35 to delay outlook and give reason for re-think. Key support now comes in by 90.15, and we look for a break back below this level to trigger resumption of downtrend. It is however worth noting that the market has broken back above the daily Ichimoku to potentially warn of a shift in the structure. But moves above the Ichimoku in recent attempts have proved fleeting.
Written by Joel Kruger, Technical Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
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