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Talking Points:
- EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
- Support: 1.0712, 1.0461, 1.0246
- Resistance:1.1040, 1.1266, 1.1515
The Euro pushed higher against the US Dollar as expected following the appearance of a bullish Morning Star candlestick pattern. A daily close above the March 18 high at 1.1040 exposes the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 1.1266. Alternatively, a turn back below the March 31low at 1.0712 opens the door for a challenge of the 1.0461-1.0554 area (March 13 low, 23.6% Fibonacci expansion).
Our long-term outlook calls for broad-based Euro weakness. With that in mind, we will treat any on-coming gains as corrective in the context of a larger structural decline and look for opportunities to enter short after upward momentum has been exhausted.
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Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope
--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com