To receive Ilya's analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE
Talking Points:
- USD/CAD Strategy: Flat
- Topping Pattern Awaits Follow-Through
- Fib Support Above 1.24 Figure in Focus
The US Dollar declined against its Canadian counterpart as expected having marked a top with bearish Dark Cloud Cover and Bearish Engulfing candlestick patterns as well as negative RSI divergence. Support is now at 1.2078, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, with a break below that exposing the 38.2% level at 1.1611. Alternatively, a turn back above the 14.6% Fib at 1.2366 targets the March swing high at 1.2834.
The overall USD/CAD trend continues to favor the upside. With that in mind, we will look to current weakness as an opportunity to establish a long position at more attractive levels once the downswing is exhausted.
Weekly Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope
--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com