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US Dollar May Rebound on Safety Demand as Stocks Decline

By Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist
20 July 2010 02:42 GMT

MSCI WORLD STOCK INDEX – Prices have turned lower after testing resistance at a falling trend line connecting major swing lows since May to meet horizontal support at $1091.00. A move below this boundary will expose the triple bottom at $1032.14.

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US DOLLAR INDEX – The greenback has taken out major support at a rising trend line established from the major swing low in December 2009, with prices now stalling above a horizontal barrier at 82.38. A bounce sees initial resistance on a re-test of the trend line near the 84.00 level while continued selling exposes the psychologically significant 80.00 figure.

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CRUDE OIL – Prices continue to consolidate inside a rising channel. Initial support lines up near $75.00, while resistance is seen in the $78.13-79.38 congestion region.

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GOLD – Prices are testing support at a rising trend line established from the swing bottom in early February. A bounce sees initial resistance at the $1200 figure, followed by a horizontal barrier at $1212.45. Continued selling targets $1170 and $1151.80.

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
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20 July 2010 02:42 GMT