Gold Poised to Continue Higher, SPX 500 Waiting for Direction Cues

2015-04-06 02:26:00

Talking Points:

US Dollar Starts Making Good on Bearish Chart Cues
S&P 500 Continues to Wait for Clarity Near March Low
Gold Poised to Extend Gains, Crude Oil Consolidating

Can’t access the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index? Try the USD basket on Mirror Trader. **

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices declined as expected after putting in a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern. Near-term support is in the 11858-86 area (March 18 low, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement), with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 38.2% level at 11679. Alternatively, a turn above the 14.6% Fib expansion at 12066 clears the way for a test of the 12149-77 zone (March 13 high, 23.6% threshold).

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices moved lower as expected after putting in a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern. A daily close below the March 12low at 2040.10 exposes the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 2004.60. Alternatively, a reversal above the 14.6% Fib expansion at 2084.00 targets the 2111.00-19.40 area (23.6% threshold, February 25 high).

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices look poised to continue higher after clearing resistance at 1210.35, the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion. From here, a daily close above the 50% level at 1231.28 exposes the 61.8% Fib at 1252.22. Alternatively, a reversal back below 1210.35 targets the March 31 low at 1178.38.

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices continue to tread water below the $60/barrel figure. A close above the March 26 high at 59.75 exposes the February 17 top at 62.98. Alternatively, a push below the 14.6% Fibonacci expansion at 52.76 targets the 23.6% level at 46.47.