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US Dollar Chart Setup Hints Deeper Losses May Be Ahead

By , Currency Strategist
21 May 2013 03:16 GMT

THE TAKEAWAY: US Dollar technical positioning hints a larger correction lower may be ahead while the S&P 500 appears poised to continue pushing upward.

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices put in a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern below resistance at 10822, the 50% Fibonacci expansion, hinting a move lower is ahead. Initial support is at 10722, the 38.2% level, with a break below that targeting the 23.6% Fib at 10599. Alternatively, a reversal above resistance exposes the 61.8% expansion at 10922.

Forex_US_Dollar_Chart_Setup_Hints_Deeper_Losses_May_Be_Ahead_body_Picture_5.png, US Dollar Chart Setup Hints Deeper Losses May Be Ahead

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices broke above resistance at 1663.30, the 50% Fibonacci expansion, exposing the 61.8% level at 1693.50. This barrier is reinforced by the 1700 figure, with a break above that eyeing the 76.4% Fib at 1730.80. Alternatively, a move back below 1663.30 (now recast as support) aims for the 38.2% expansion at 1633.20.

Forex_US_Dollar_Chart_Setup_Hints_Deeper_Losses_May_Be_Ahead_body_Picture_6.png, US Dollar Chart Setup Hints Deeper Losses May Be Ahead

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices broke above resistance in the 1375.16-77.33 area and completed a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern, hinting at further gains ahead. Initial resistance is at 1401.63, with a break above that targeting 1421.26. Alternatively, a reversal back beneath 1375.16 exposes 1340.31.

Forex_US_Dollar_Chart_Setup_Hints_Deeper_Losses_May_Be_Ahead_body_Picture_7.png, US Dollar Chart Setup Hints Deeper Losses May Be Ahead

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices broke above resistance at 96.50, the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion (a barrier reinforced by a falling trend line set from late January). Buyers now aim to challenge the 50% level at 97.85, with a break above that targeting the 61.8% Fib at 99.21. Alternatively, a reversal back beneath 96.50 eyes the 23.6% expansion at 94.82.

Forex_US_Dollar_Chart_Setup_Hints_Deeper_Losses_May_Be_Ahead_body_Picture_8.png, US Dollar Chart Setup Hints Deeper Losses May Be Ahead

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow Ilya on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

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21 May 2013 03:16 GMT