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February ISM Manufacturing Grew Less than Expected; U.S. Dollar Slips

By Trang Nguyen
01 March 2012 16:53 GMT

THE TAKEAWAY: U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index Fell in February> Slower Growth in Production, Orders and Employment >USD Extends Loss

Manufacturing in the U.S. expanded less than projected in February as businesses were expected to hold steady and concern over commodity prices heightened. The Institute for Supply Manager’s (ISM) Manufacturing index, which tracks the amount of manufacturing activity that occurred in the previous month, unexpectedly falls 1.7 percent to 52.4 percent in February from 54.1 percent in January. The reading missed miss median forecast as economists polled by Bloomberg survey had anticipated a print of 54.5. The index has stayed above 50-level for thirty-first consecutive month, indicating sustainable growth in the manufacturing sector of the world’s largest economy. The annualized PMI for February corresponded to 3.3 percent increase in real gross domestic product (GDP) annually.

U.S. ISM Manufacturing: June 2010 to Present

030112_US_ISM_Manufacturing_February_body_Chart_3.png, February ISM Manufacturing Grew Less than Expected; U.S. Dollar Slips

Prepared by Trang Nguyen

The index takes into account expectations for future production, new orders, inventories and employment deliveries. Production index registered 55.3 percent in February compared to 55.7 percent in January. Besides, new orders pointed to slow growth with a sub-index falling 2.7 percent to 54.9 percent last month from 57.6 in January. Expansion in employment also slowed 1.1 percentage points to 53.2 percent in the month. The increase in hiring for the 29th consecutive month is consistent with an increase in the Bureau of Labor Statistics data on manufacturing employment, though “still far from normal level”. Meanwhile, inventories contracted at the same pace of January.

ISM Prices Index, which reflects business sentiment regarding future inflation, came in at 61.5, well above consensus estimate of 58.0. The print is 6 percentage points higher than the 55.5 percent in January. This marks the second straight month of price hike in raw materials since September 2011. Price pressures were elevated in thirteen of eighteen manufacturing industries during the month of February, particularly high for mineral products, fabricated metal products, plastic and rubber products, primary metals and machinery.

AUD/USD 1-minute Chart: March 1, 2012

030112_US_ISM_Manufacturing_February_body_Picture_1.png, February ISM Manufacturing Grew Less than Expected; U.S. Dollar Slips

Charts created using Strategy Trader– Prepared by Trang Nguyen

U.S. dollar tumbled versus most of its major trading partners except its euro and Swiss franc counterparts in North American morning trade today. The dollar extends loss against major currencies after the ISM report showed weaker-than-expected growth in the U.S manufacturing sector. As can be seen from the 1-minute AUD/USD chart above, the currency pair climbed nearly 20 pips from 1.0762 to 1.0800 following the dismal manufacturing report. At the time this report was written, the aussie was traded at $1.0791

--- Written by Trang Nguyen, DailyFX Research Team for DailyFX.com

To contact Trang, email tnguyen@dailyfx.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
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01 March 2012 16:53 GMT