THE TAKEAWAY: Drop in credit card spending, possibly lower retail sales > slower inflation, less need for RBNZ rate hikes > NZD declines
A lower than expected credit card spending data for July, indicating a possible weakening of retail sales and less pressure for the RBNZ to continue its rate increases, added to overall risk-off trading following the 6th largest drop in the S&P500 and dropped the New Zealand Dollar. At the time of writing, the New Zealand dollar and the Australian dollar were the top two losers against the buck, shedding 0.390% at 0.281% respectively as investors continued to look for safety.
|
EVENT |
ACT |
EXP |
PREV |
|
NZ Card Spending – Retail (MoM) (JUL) |
0.4% |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
NZ Card Spending – Total (MoM) (JUL) |
0.2% |
0.5% |
0.7% |

NZ Credit Card Sales MoM Total. Chart generated with Bloomberg LP Professional Terminal.
The New Zealand dollar continued to face downward pressure in pre-Asia trading following a 5.55% in the Dow Jones the previous session and a similar 6.66% drop in the benchmark S&P500 index. Continued risk-off sentiment showed in US equity futures, as the DJIA was off 0.401% and the S&P500 was off a similar 0.405%. However, New Zealand dollar traders will be awaiting Chinese data to be released at 0130GMT and 0200GMT today, including PPI, CPI and industrial production.

NZDUSD 5 minute chart; vertical line indicates time of release. Chart generated with FXCM Strategy Trader.
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