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The Euro, Aussie, and Canadian Dollar’s Magical Story in FXCM’s Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) Diary

By Kiana Danial
25 April 2011 13:45 GMT

The euro, Australian dollar, and Canadian dollar all attracted great forex-market interest this past week. As of April 22, the Australian dollar was up to a new, all-time high. The euro, despite Portugal's debt issues, had broken back above 1.45, and the U.S. dollar hit a three-and-a-half-year low against the loonie.

The FXCM’s Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) was also following the pairs, and constantly signaling their next movements—much of the time different from what the fundamental news suggested. Eventually, the SSI’s forecasts turned out to be correct.

Below is the SSI’s diary of the euro, Australian dollar, and Canadian dollar for the week of April 18, and the result on the currency pairs’ price action.

The SSI Diary on Selected Dollar Pairs | April 22, 2011

EUR/USD

For five consecutive days, the SSI has been signaling more euro-dollar gains. It has been negative every day with an average of 65% of EUR/USD traders at FXCM shorting the pair. The SSI suggests the majority of the trading crowd is usually wrong, and bases its signals on moving against the crowd.

  • Result: EUR/USD continually gained. The successful trader would have been the one who had followed the SSI signal and bought the euro.*

AUD/USD

85% of FXCM AUD/USD traders thought the Aussie was going to fall, and maintained their short positions throughout the week. As a contrarian indicator, the SSI continually suggested going against the crowd and being long the pair.

  • Result: The AUD/USD hit a new, all-time high, and the successful trader would have been the one who had followed the SSI signal and bought the Australian dollar.*

USD/CAD

The pair has been falling since mid-March. On average, 85% of FXCM’s traders were speculating on a rise in the USD/CAD, and were longing the pair. Meanwhile, the SSI continually signaled USD/CAD losses.

  • Result: USD/CAD kept falling, hitting its newest low in three-and-a-half years. If the 85% of those FXCM traders had followed the SSI's consistent signal, and had sold their US dollars against the loonie, they would now be on the right side of the trade.*

Euro_Aussie_Canadian_dollar_SSI_story__body_Chart.png, The Euro, Aussie, and Canadian Dollar’s Magical Story in FXCM’s Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) Diary

EUR/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CAD Price and SSI, April 2011

*Past Performance is not indicative of future results.

Follow the SSI and Increase Your Chances for Profit

More people are turning to theSpeculative Sentiment Index (SSI) as it continues to prove to be a reliable forecasting tool in the forex market. This unique innovation ofFXCM Inc.(NYSE: FXCM) reveals where FXCM’s forex-trading crowd is positioned, helps traders create powerful trading strategies, and provides traders with insight where the market might potentially move.

The SSI is available free twice a day onDailyFX+for allFXCMlive-account holders. The public can also view a weekly SSI report on Thursdays onDailyFX.com.

About FXCM Inc.

FXCM Inc.(NYSE: FXCM) is a global online provider of foreign exchange (forex) trading and related services to retail and institutional customers worldwide.

At the heart of FXCM's client offering is No Dealing Desk forex trading. Clients benefit from FXCM’s large network of forex liquidity providers enabling FXCM to offer competitive spreads on major currency pairs. Clients have the advantage of mobile trading, one-click order execution, and trading from real-time charts. FXCM's UK subsidiary, Forex Capital Markets Limited, also offers CFD products with no re-quote trading and allows clients to trade forex, oil, gold, silver, and stock indices on one platform. In addition, FXCM offers educational courses on forex trading and provides free news and market research through DailyFX.com.

Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. DailyFX has taken reasonable measures to ensure the accuracy of the content herein, however, does not guarantee its accuracy, and will not accept liability for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content and your use of the charting indicator and EAs herein. In addition, the content herein, including, but not limited to, the charting indicators and EAs is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.

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Contacts

DailyFX

Kiana Danial,

646-432-2449

Financial Public Relations

kdanial@fxcm.com

FXCM Inc.

Jaclyn Sales,

646-432-2463

Vice-President,

Corporate Communications

jsales@fxcm.com

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25 April 2011 13:45 GMT