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Oil Tests Key Support, Gold Has Scope to Rebound

By Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist
07 December 2009 07:56 GMT

Commodities - Energy

Oil Prices Continues to Work Through Trend-Defining Support

Crude Oil (WTI)       $74.77       -$0.70       -0.93%
Oil prices are pushing below significant support at a rising trend line established from the lows in February, with the final barrier seen at the bottom of a falling channel set from October’s high at $74.39. A break below this juncture would open the door for a acceleration in what so far has been a fairly gradual slide lower. Stocks and the US Dollar appear central on the fundamental side of things as traders continue to sort out last Friday’s shockingly positive US jobs report.

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Commodities - Metals

Gold May See Near-Term Rebound, Risk and US Dollar Trends Key

Gold       $1143.30       -$18.10        -1.56%
Gold took out support in the $1195.10 - $1200.50 congestion region and is now testing support at $1137.57, the 11/27 low, with positive RSI divergence hinting that near-term double bottom maybe forming. A bounce will see initial resistance at $1167.10. The data docket is empty, leaving gold to trade the trajectory of risk appetite and the US Dollar for the time being.

Silver       $18.14       -$0.37        -2.01%
Silver has been heading lower after last week’s break of resistance-turned-support at $18.86, a prior triple top that had contained prices through November, with bearish momentum guided by a minor falling channel. Prices are now set to test the psychologically significant $18.00 figure, with support below that seen at $17.78. Risk trends and US Dollar flows take top billing on the fundamental side of things.

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07 December 2009 07:56 GMT