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Oil, Metals Focus on Risk Trends, US Dollar into Week-End
Friday, 20 November 2009 10:25 GMT  |  Written by Ilya Spivak
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Oil, gold and silver are set to fall in with broad trends in risk appetite into the end of the trading week with virtually nothing of note on the eonomic or the earnings calendars.

Commodities – Energy

Oil May See Bounce with US Index Futures Higher as Prices Follow Risk Trends

Crude Oil (WTI)       $77.07       -$0.39       -0.50%
Crude has slipped below support at $78.13 as risk aversion returned across capital markets, with the door now open for a move towards downward-sloping support near the $75 mark. The economic and earnings calendars are bare, with the Baker Hughes measure of oil rigs operating in the US being the only item on the docket. The broad trajectory of risk appetite is the key going in to Friday trading, rising US index futures seem to point towards a bit of a bounce.

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Commodities – Metals

Metals Focus on Risk Trends, US Dollar Outlook into Week-End

Gold       $1142.40        -$2.20       -0.19%
Technically, gold positioning in essentially unchanged from yesterday. Prices have come off from resistance at the top of a rising channel, with prices now inching lower towards initial support at $1132.10. A break below this juncture opens the door to test the channel bottom near $1125. Fundamentally, an empty economic docket points to the primacy of risk trends and their impact on the US Dollar as the key catalyst for prices in Friday trading.

Silver       $18.34       -$0.20       -1.07%
As with gold, silver is little changed from yesterday but recent highs are clearly divergent with momentum indicators, suggesting a bearish bias. Initial support lines up at $18.09. Fundamentally, broad risk trends dominate here as well.

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