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Forex Analysis: US Dollar Corrects Higher, Wells Fargo Earnings on Tap

By , Currency Strategist
11 January 2013 08:05 GMT

The US Dollar corrected higher overnight as prices digested the largest drop in four months. Wells Fargo earnings are now in focus for sentiment trends.

Talking Points

  • US Dollar Corrects Higher After Posting Worst Selloff in Four Months
  • Swiss CPI, UK Industrial Production Data Likely to Pass Without Fanfare
  • Risk Sentiment Trends Look to Wells Fargo Q4 Earnings for Direction

The US Dollar corrected higher – rising against all of its leading counterparts – as prices corrected after yesterday’s aggressive selloff. The greenback fell 0.6 percent, marking the largest single-day drop in close to four months, as risk appetite swelled in the wake of better-than-expected Chinese trade figures. The New Zealand Dollar underperformed.

The economic calendar is quiet in European hours. Swiss CPI is expected to fall 0.3 percent year-on-year in December, marking a narrow improvement from November but keeping deflation concerns alive. On balance, this represents the status quo and is unlikely to drive significant changes in forex traders’ outlook for SNB policy. A narrow improvement in UK Industrial Production will probably pass with little fanfare.

S&P 500 index futures are trading flat, offering no clear bearing on risk appetite trends for the time being. The US data docket is likewise lackluster, turning traders’ attention to the earnings calendar. Wells Fargo is due to report fourth-quarter results and the markets will be keen to gauge the bank’s guidance to inform their outlook for global financial conditions.

Asia Session: What Happened

GMT

CCY

EVENT

ACT

EXP

PREV

23:50

JPY

Current Account Total (¥) (NOV)

-222.4B

-17.1B

376.9B

23:50

JPY

Adjusted Current Account Total (¥) (NOV)

225.9B

277.4B

414.1B

23:50

JPY

Current Account Balance (YoY) (NOV)

-276.4%

-84.1%

-29.4%

23:50

JPY

Trade Balance - BOP Basis (¥) (NOV)

-847.5B

-832.0B

-450.3B

23:50

JPY

Bank Lending Banks ex-Trust (DEC)

1.4%

1.1%

1.2% (R-)

23:50

JPY

Bank Lending incl Trusts (YoY) (DEC)

1.2%

-

1.0%

1:30

CNY

Consumer Price Index (YoY) (DEC)

2.5%

2.3%

2.0%

1:30

CNY

Producer Price Index (YoY) (DEC)

-1.9%

-1.8%

-2.2%

5:00

JPY

Eco Watchers Survey: Current (DEC)

45.8

40.8

40

5:00

JPY

Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook (DEC)

51

42.5

41.9

Euro Session: What to Expect

GMT

CCY

EVENT

EXP

PREV

IMPACT

8:15

CHF

Consumer Price Index (MoM) (DEC)

-0.1%

-0.3%

Medium

8:15

CHF

Consumer Price Index (YoY) (DEC)

-0.3%

-0.4%

Medium

8:15

CHF

CPI - EU Harmonised (MoM) (DEC)

-

-0.5%

Low

8:15

CHF

CPI - EU Harmonised (YoY) (DEC)

-

-0.1%

Low

9:30

GBP

Manufacturing Production (MoM) (NOV)

0.5%

-1.3%

Low

9:30

GBP

Manufacturing Production (YoY) (NOV)

-1.3%

-2.1%

Low

9:30

GBP

Industrial Production (MoM) (NOV)

0.8%

-0.8%

Medium

9:30

GBP

Industrial Production (YoY) (NOV)

-1.9%

-3.0%

Medium

Critical Levels

CCY

SUPPORT

RESISTANCE

EURUSD

1.3116

1.3350

GBPUSD

1.6059

1.6222

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow Ilya on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

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11 January 2013 08:05 GMT