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GBP/USD Consolidating After Finding Support, Creating Scalping Environment
Thursday, 12 November 2009 15:38 GMT  |  Written by John Rivera
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The British Pound tumbled following the BoE quarterly inflation report which showed that prices remained subdued. Governor King following the release of the report left the door open for additional quantitative easing which help accelerate losses. The pair has fallen to support levels which is developing a period of consolidation that will provide a profit opportunity for high frequency traders. However, we are seeing broader dollar support which could lead further bearish sentiment.

Key Technical Levels

SCALP1112a

The GBP/USD is finding trendline support connecting the 10/13 and 11/3 lows which has stemmed losses and is generating a period of consolidation. The 20-Day SMA lies just below at 1.6495 which will limit downside risks and provide scalpers with an additional target.

SCALP1112b

Quantitative Metrics

A narrowing Bollinger band is a sign that price action for the GBP/USD has started to become concentrated. Indeed, before its recent breakout we swathe pair trade in a 300 pip range. However, at 558 pips it continues to hold the second largest width of the pairs listed below. Furthermore, over that period there were several days of large price swings which has kept the pair’s ATR at an elevated level. The daily range of 195 pips presents a risk for scalpers and detracts from the pairs as a target for scalpers.

SCALP1112c

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To discuss this report or be added to the email list, contact John Rivera, Currency Analyst: jrivera@fxcm.com

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