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GBP/USD Becomes Target For Scalpers With Event Risk Looming
Wednesday, 04 November 2009 16:06 GMT  |  Written by John Rivera
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The upcoming BoE rate decision will present significant event risk for the GBP/USD as the central bank will decide on the future of its asset purchase program. Therefore, we may see little volatility from the pair pre-release as traders will remain hesitant to make bets without confirming the direction of monetary policy. The potential range bound price action will provide an opportunity for scalpers to generate profits without fear of a breakout. However, traders should wait until after today’s FOMC meeting and its potential to impact market sentiment.

Key Technical Levels

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We are seeing consolidation ahead of the U.S. event risk which could be duplicated as we approach the BoE rate decision. On a daily time frame we see that the 20-Day SMA has become solid support which traders can target as a level for potential consolidation. Conversely, the 10/23 high of 1.6692 may serve as resistance and could generate similar price action.

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Quantitative Metrics

The GBP/USD has seen its ATR hold steady in the 170-190 pip range for the past two months making the pair attractive for scalpers. Additionally, the pair has the third lowest implied volatility of the pairs listed below at 14.35. However, a Bollinger band width of 1050 pips is a red flag and must be taken into consideration.

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To discuss this report or be added to the email list, contact John Rivera, Currency Analyst: jrivera@fxcm.com

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