Trade FOREX with FXCM

  • Award-Winning Platform
  • 24/7 Customer Support
  • Trade Directly on Charts
  • Free $50K Practice Account

Resources

Federal Reserve’s March 2013 Economic Projects in One Word: Uninspiring

By , Currency Analyst
20 March 2013 18:20 GMT

THE TAKEAWAY: USD Federal Open Market Committee releases quarterly economic forecasts > Growth, Inflation downgraded, while Unemployment Rate upgraded > $85B/month pace of QE3 unchanged

The US economy will grow at a rate of +2.3% to +2.8% in 2013, according to the Federal Reserve’s latest round of economic projections released today, down from the +2.3% to +3.0% range first set forth in December 2012. Amid the softer growth forecast, policymakers have also downgraded the inflation forecast for the world’s largest economy, with the Core PCE forecast for 2013 falling to +1.5% y/y to +1.6% y/y, from +1.6% y/y to +1.9% y/y.

Aside from the revised economic projections, which paint a slightly dimmer picture for the US economy thanks to fiscal policy that has “become more restrictive,” the Federal Open Market Committee did offer a better near-term assessment of economic conditions, that resulted in a more upbeat policy statement. Policymakers noted “a return to moderate economic growth following a pause late last year,” with “labor market conditions [showing] signs of improvement in recent months.”

Nevertheless, the key interest rate was kept on hold at 0.25%, and the pace of QE3 was kept on hold at $85B/month in agency MBS and US Treasury purchases.

Presented below, without commentary, are the key figures from the Fed’s revised 2013 forecasts.

Federal_Reserves_March_2013_Economic_Projects_in_One_Word_Uninspiring_body_Picture_3.png, Federal Reserve's March 2013 Economic Projects in One Word: Uninspiring

Federal_Reserves_March_2013_Economic_Projects_in_One_Word_Uninspiring_body_Picture_2.png, Federal Reserve's March 2013 Economic Projects in One Word: Uninspiring

Federal_Reserves_March_2013_Economic_Projects_in_One_Word_Uninspiring_body_Picture_1.png, Federal Reserve's March 2013 Economic Projects in One Word: Uninspiring

FOMC March 2013 Policy Statement

FOMC March 2013 Economic Projections

--- Written by Christopher Vecchio, Currency Analyst

To contact Christopher Vecchio, e-mail cvecchio@dailyfx.com

Follow him on Twitter at @CVecchioFX

To be added to Christopher’s e-mail distribution list, please fill out this form

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
Learn forex trading with a free practice account and trading charts from FXCM.

20 March 2013 18:20 GMT