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usd/chf Technicals

Wednesday, 23 July 2008 14:20:18 GMT

Swiss Franc Technical Outlook

By Jamie Saettele, Technical Currency Analyst

usd/chf Fundamentals

Thursday, 03 July 2008 17:08:36 GMT

Swiss Franc 2008 Q3 Outlook

By John Rivera, Currency Analyst

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Swiss Franc (CHF)

Current Time - Geneva: 10:10 PM | EST: 4:10 PM | GMT: 8:10 PM

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SENTIMENT AND POSITIONING

	SSI Positioning USD/CHF Ratio: 1.18 Signal: Bearish Full Article

	COT Positioning Implications: Bearish Full Article

FUNDAMENTALS — THIS WEEKS ECONOMIC RELEASES

	Most Recent Economic Releases	Forecast	Previous
	CHF Money Supply M3 (YoY) (JUN)		2.9%(R+)
	CHF Real Estate Index Family Homes (2Q)		340.4
	CHF Producer & Import Prices (MoM) (JUN)	0.5%	1.2%
	CHF Producer & Import Prices (YoY) (JUN)	4.4%	3.9%
	CHF Trade Balance (JUN)	1.60B	1.87B

More CHF Economic Releases

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Technicals - Support and Resistance for CHF

	Support and Resistance Levels						Interest Rate Outlook
	Key Levels		Strength	Comments			Timeframe	Target
	R4	1.0841	High	61.8% Fibo 1.1548-0.9644			Benchmark	2.75
	R3	1.0611	High	50.0% Fibo 1.1548-0.9644
	R2	1.0381	High	Bollinger Band Resistance			1 Week	2.050
	R1	1.0254	Medium	20 Day - SMA			1 Month	2.292
	S1	1.0080	Medium	Bollinger Band Support			3 Month	2.783
	S2	0.9877	Medium	76.4% Fibo 0.9644-1.0624			6 Month	2.937
	S3	0.9700	Medium	Psychological Support			9 Month	3.087
	S4	0.9642	Medium	All Time Low			1 Year	3.237

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FROM THE CENTRAL BANK

	Central Bank:	Swiss National Bank
	Current Bias:	Hawkish
	Current Interest Rate:	2.75%
	Last Change:	03/13/2008 hike 25bp
	Next Meeting:	9/18/2008 More Dates

Latest Swiss National Bank Interest Rate Outlook

Central Bank Governor: Jean-Pierre Roth

Current Voting Members: Jean-Pierre Roth, Philipp Hildebrand, Thomas Jordan