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aud/usd Technicals

Thursday, 09 October 2008 14:49:37 GMT

Australian Dollar Technical Outlook

By Jamie Saettele, Senior Currency Strategist

aud/usd Fundamentals

Saturday, 11 October 2008 02:31:42 GMT

Australian Dollar May Sink Further As Commodity Sell Off Continues

By John Rivera, Currency Analyst
Central Bank Interest
Central Bank Calendar
EURJPYGBPAUDCADNZDCHF  

Australian Dollar (AUD)

 ico-clock Current Time - Sydney: 11:18 AM | EST: 9:18 PM | GMT: 1:18 AM


SENTIMENT AND POSITIONING
SSI Positioning

AUD/USD Ratio: 1.67
Signal: Bearish


Full Article
COT Positioning

AUD:  The AUD index is at 0, but a closer look into the COT numbers reveals that the decline is probably not finished. 


Full Article
FUNDAMENTALS — THIS WEEKS ECONOMIC RELEASES
Most Recent Economic Releases Forecast Previous
AUD AiG Performance of Construction Index (SEP) 43.1
AUD Quarterly Wage Agreements (2Q) 3.7
AUD Reserve Bank of Australia Rate Decision 6.50% 7.00%
AUD Home Loans (AUG) -1.0% -0.2%
AUD Investment Lending (AUG) 2.3%
AUD Value of Loans (MoM) (AUG) -0.1%
AUD Foreign Reserves (Australian dollar) (SEP) 35.5B
AUD Consumer Inflation Expectation (OCT) 4.4%


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Technicals - Support and Resistance for AUD
Support and Resistance Levels Interest Rate Outlook
Key Levels Strength Comments Timeframe Target
R4 0.7740 High 10/06 High Benchmark 6.00
R3 0.7282 High 61.8% Fibo of 0.7808 - 0.6441
R2 0.7125 Weak 50.0% Fibo of 0.7808 - 0.6441 1 Week 8.050
R1 0.6963 Medium 38.2% Fibo of 0.7808 - 0.6441 1 Month 8.050
S1 0.6715 Medium 61.8% Fibo of 0.4775 - 0.9850 3 Month 7.425
S2 0.6500 Medium Pschological Support 6 Month 7.375
S3 0.6342 High 9/3/2003 Low 9 Month 7.338
S4 0.6000 Weak Pschological Support 1 Year 7.313
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FROM THE CENTRAL BANK
  Central Bank: Reserve Bank of Australia
  Current Bias: Neutral
  Current Interest Rate: 6.00%
  Last Change: 10/07/08 cut 100bp
  Next Meeting: 11/04/2008  More Dates
Latest RBA Interest Rate Outlook		  
Central Bank Governor: Glenn Stevens

Current Voting Members: Glenn Stevens, Ric Battellino, Ken Henry, John Akehurst, Jillian Broadbent, Roger Corbett, Graham Kraehe, Donald McGauchie, Warwick McKibbin