Research

aud/usd Technicals

Thursday, 02 July 2009 14:09:20 GMT

Australian Dollar Technical Outlook

By Jamie Saettele, Senior Currency Strategist

aud/usd Fundamentals

Friday, 03 July 2009 16:59:16 GMT

Australian Dollar At Risk as Investors Weigh Outlook For Future Policy

By Ilya Spivak, Currency Analyst
Central Bank Interest
Central Bank Calendar
EURJPYGBPAUDCADNZDCHF  

Australian Dollar (AUD)

 ico-clock Current Time - Sydney: 10:27 AM | EST: 8:27 PM | GMT: 12:27 AM


SENTIMENT AND POSITIONING
SSI Positioning

AUD/USD ratio: -1.41
Trading Forecast: Bullish


Full Article
COT Positioning

AUD: The 13 week index has rolled over from 100, which indicates a turn from a sentiment extreme.  A top typically accompanies index readings of 100.


Full Article
FUNDAMENTALS — THIS WEEKS ECONOMIC RELEASES
Most Recent Economic Releases Forecast Previous
AUD HIA New Home Sales (MoM) (MAY) 0.5%
AUD Private Sector Credit (MoM) (MAY) 0.2% 0.1%
AUD Private Sector Credit (YoY) (MAY) 4.2% 4.5% (R-)
AUD Foreign Reserves (Australian dollar) (JUN) 52.2B
AUD AiG Performance of Manufacturing Index (JUN) 37.5
AUD DEWR Skilled Vacancies (MoM) (JUN) -7.0%
AUD Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) (MAY) 0.5% 0.3%
AUD Building Approvals (MoM) (MAY) 3.0% 4.1% (R-)


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Technicals - Support and Resistance for AUD
Support and Resistance Levels Interest Rate Outlook
Key Levels Strength Comments Timeframe Target
R4 0.8386 High 61.8% Fibo 0.9851 - 0.6007 Benchmark 3.00
R3 0.8266 High 6/3 High
R2 0.8171 Weak Bollinger Band Resistance 1 Week 3.125
R1 0.8119 Medium 6/19 High 1 Month 3.268
S1 0.8009 Medium 20-Day SMA 3 Month 3.500
S2 0.7784 High 38.2% Fibo 0.6953 - 0.8267 6 Month 3.780
S3 0.7621 High 50.0% Fibo 0.6953 - 0.8267 9 Month 4.005
S4 0.7459 High 61.8% Fibo 0.6953 - 0.8267 1 Year 4.250
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FROM THE CENTRAL BANK
  Central Bank: Reserve Bank of Australia
  Current Bias: Neutral
  Current Interest Rate: 3.00%
  Last Change: 06/02/09 no change
  Next Meeting: 07/06/2009  More Dates
Latest RBA Interest Rate Outlook		  
Central Bank Governor: Glenn Stevens

Current Voting Members: Glenn Stevens, Ric Battellino, Ken Henry, John Akehurst, Jillian Broadbent, Roger Corbett, Graham Kraehe, Donald McGauchie, Warwick McKibbin