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Updated: 06-May-08 12:05 ET

March Factory Orders
Updated: 06-May-08 12:05 ET





Highlights

  • Durables orders rose a revised 0.1%.  Nondurables orders rose 2.6%.  Unfilled orders rose again and are at record levels. 
  •  

Key Factors

    Big Picture

      Factory orders remain surprisingly strong.  This is one of the great untold stories of the current business cycle.  Factory orders are running about 5% above year-ago levels.  In the 2001 recession, factory orders plunged (see the chart above) and were soon down 10% on a year-over-year basis.  The strength this cycle is partly related to the boom in exports boosted by the weak dollar.  In any case, the manufacturing sector remains far stronger than is widely recognized and shows no signs of a significant downturn.   
    •  
    Category Mar Feb Jan Dec Nov
    Factory Orders 1.4% -0.9 -2.3 2.0 1.7
        Less Defense 1.4 -1.1 -2.0 0.8 2.4
      Durable Goods 0.1 -0.6 -4.4 4.4 0.5
      Nondurable Goods 2.6 -1.1 0.0 -0.4 3.0
    Unfilled Factory Orders 1.1% 1.0 0.8 2.5 1.2
    Factory Shipments 1.1% -1.9 1.1 -0.4 1.3
    Factory Inventories 0.9% 0.7 1.3 0.9 0.7
    Inventory/Shipment Ratio 1.27 mo 1.27 1.24 1.24 1.22