I initially sold EURUSD at 1.3526. Prices have now completed a bearish Three Inside Down candlestick pattern below resistance at 1.3231, the late-November swing bottom and our revised stop-loss level, hinting the corrective upswing that played out over the past two weeks may be ready to give way to the dominant down trend once more. I will continue to hold short, targeting 1.2586. A daily close above 1.3231 triggers the stop-loss. Initial support lines up in the 1.2927-2966 area.

We will hold off for now with a retest of the October record lows seeming likely. However, we still think this market is in the process of attempting to carve out a more complex bottoming pattern ahead of a major bullish trend reversal over the coming months. As such, our strategy will be to look for a break of the record low and some stretched daily studies and then look to establish a fresh counter-trend long.